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汇丰银行(HSBC):2025年第一季度全球投资展望报告:驱动新时代的增长引擎(英文版)(36页).pdf

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1、A Fertile Ground for Investment ReturnsNew Growth Engines for a Changing WorldInvestment OutlookQ1 2025Global Private BankingChief Investment Officer,Southeast Asia and India James Cheo Chief Investment Officer,EMEA and Switzerland Georgios Leontaris Chief Investment Officer,North Asia Patrick Ho Ch

2、ief Investment Officer,China Desmond Kuang DChief Investment Officer,Americas Jose RascoHead of Asset Allocation Stanko Milojevic Director,Global Market Strategist and Managing Editor Neha Sahni Chief Investment Officer,UK Jonathan Sparks ContributorsChief Investment Officer,Asia Cheuk Wan Fan Globa

3、l Market Analyst,Real Estate Investment Guy Sheppard Senior Product Specialist,Private Market Investments Jorge Huitron Global Head of Fixed Income Laurent Lacroix Global Head of Equities Kevin Lyne Smith kevin.lyne-Currencies and Commodities Strategist Rodolphe Bohn Director,Global Equities Bryan O

4、Carroll Head of European Hedge Fund Research Alex Grievson A Global Chief Investment Officer Willem Sels 2 2New Growth Engines for a Changing WorldInvestment Outlook Q1 2025 3Contents05 Client Letter06 Our Portfolio Strategy10 Top Five Trends and High Conviction Themes 10 1.Asia in the New World Ord

5、er 12 2.Disruptive Technologies 14 3.Climate Action 16 4.Evolving Society 18 5.Riding the Earnings and Rate Cut Tailwinds20 Equities22 Fixed Income24 Currencies and Commodities26 Hedge Funds28 Private Markets30 Real Estate32 DisclaimersInvestment OutlookNew Growth Engines for a Changing WorldQ1 2025

6、.Issued on 21 November 2024Investment OutlookDiscover domestic resilience in an evolving AsiaQ1 2025.Issued on 21 November 20244Dear client The past few months were dominated by US election uncertainty,which left investors in limbo but still allowed equity markets to rally.Markets are happy that the

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本文是2025年第一季度投资展望报告,主要内容包括: 1. 投资环境分析:全球经济增长稳健,美国经济保持2%增长,中国转向财政和货币政策刺激,印度和东盟国家增长强劲。 2. 投资策略:维持对全球股市的轻微超配,看好美国、英国、日本、印度和新加坡股市。 3. 四大投资主题:亚洲新秩序下的国内领军企业、亚洲股东回报提升、印度和东盟的崛起、亚洲高质量信用。 4. 短期趋势:美国活力、北美再工业化、通过积极信用选择获得收入。 5. 投资优先事项:利用政策优先事项和创新带来的收益、应对现金利率下降、增加对私募市场和对冲基金的投资、发现亚洲的国内韧性。 6. 预计2025年亚洲(除日本)GDP增长4.4%,高于全球平均水平。
哪些领域将引领增长? 亚洲市场如何应对贸易不确定性? 科技革命如何影响未来投资策略?
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