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麦肯锡:2024为电动汽车提供动力的未来电池化学技术研究报告(英文版)(9页).pdf

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1、Automotive&Assembly PracticeThe battery chemistries powering the future of electric vehiclesBattery chemistry for electric vehicles is evolving rapidly,leading to repercussions for the entire value chain.This article is a collaborative effort by Timo Mller,with Clemens Cepnik,Marcelo Azevedo,Nicol C

2、ampagnol,and Yunjing Kinzel,representing views from McKinseys Automotive and Assembly Practice.December 2024Battery technology has evolved significantly in recent years.Thirty years ago,when the first lithium ion(Li-ion)cells were commercialized,they mainly included lithium cobalt oxide as cathode m

3、aterial.Numerous other options have emerged since that time.Todays batteries,including those used in electric vehicles(EVs),generally rely on one of two cathode chemistries:lithium iron phosphate(LFP),which was invented by Nobel Prize winner John Goodenough in the late 1990s and commercialized in th

4、e early 2000slithium nickel manganese cobalt mixed oxide(NMC),which evolved from the first manganese oxide and cobalt oxide chemistries and entered the market around 20081LFP is based on a phosphate structure with only iron as its transition metal,and researchers have also developed a new iron and m

5、anganese form,termed LMFP,which was commercialized this year(for more information on cathodes and other battery components,see sidebar,“How energy is stored and released”).Although LFP has some advantages over NMC,including a more favorable safety profile and lower cost,automotive OEMs have preferre

6、d NMC chemistry for the past ten years because its higher energy density(the amount of energy that can be stored in a given mass or volume)provides a longer driving range.The balance could soon shift globally in favor of L(M)FP batteries,however,because technological improvements over the past few y

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本文主要讨论了电动汽车电池化学的发展趋势,特别是锂铁磷(LFP)和锂镍锰钴氧化物(NMC)两种正极材料的使用情况。文章指出,由于LFP电池的能量密度提升,其续航里程已经能够满足消费者的需求,因此越来越多的汽车制造商开始采用LFP电池。2024年,全球LFP电池的市场份额预计将从2020年的11%上升到44%。然而,NMC电池由于其更高的能量密度,在高端车型中仍然占据优势。文章还预测了未来LFP电池的市场份额可能出现的三种情景,包括LFP和NMC市场继续分化、LFP因技术创新而更广泛采用、以及由于固态电池等新技术的出现,LFP的采用率放缓。最后,文章指出LFP电池的增长将对整个电池价值链产生重大影响,包括对矿产、提炼厂、电池制造商和正极活性材料生产商的影响。
电动汽车电池技术如何演变? 锂离子电池中LFP和NMC化学有何不同? LFP电池的兴起对电动汽车产业链有何影响?
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