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凯捷(Capgemini):2024年世界能源市场观察报告(第26版)(中译版)(183页).pdf

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1、World Energy Markets Observatory 2024|26th EditionWe are not on track to meet the Paris Agreements objectives.What should we do?IN COLLABORATION WITH2W E M O 2 0 2 42W E M O 2 0 2 4H O M EGlobalOutlook15Primary energy demand is an outdated concept10Electricity Consumption is not rising as predicted

2、in Europe11Geopolitical impacts will maintain uncertainty in energy markets2The Realistic case for Gen AI6The need for a Demand Side Energy Transition12Industrial Heat is in the blind spot of energy transition3The Business Case for Batteries needs to be clearer7Focus Hydrogen on hard to abate indust

3、ries 13Permitting is still not fast enough and is slowing down the energy transition4Which net zero Pathway are we on?8How to meet Data center AI/Gen AI consumption increase?9SMRs are part of the answer14IRA impact and progressContentsHow to make money from renewables?3W E M O 2 0 2 43W E M O 2 0 2

4、4H O M EGlobal Outlook4W E M O 2 0 2 44W E M O 2 0 2 4H O M EThis 2024 World Energy Markets Observatory outlook will be structured in three main paragraphs:In the first paragraph,we will look at the energy markets developments in the last 12 months in the present very tense geopolitical situation:th

5、e energy prices“normalisation”,the progresses in carbon free technologies implementation(nuclear electricity,intermittent renewables and their negative impact on grid balancing,storable renewables),the status of electricity consumption management,the storage solutions deployment and the green hydrog

6、en reality.In the second paragraph,we will ask ourselves what should be done to limit the rise in global temperatures:including technology deployment at scale,well fitted regulations adoption,company and citizens contributions,financing schemes improvements and disruptive technologies(including Gene

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本文主要讨论了2023年全球能源市场的发展情况,并提出了应对全球变暖的建议。 关键点包括: 1. 2023年全球能源相关温室气体排放量创历史新高,尽管可再生能源部署迅速。 2. 2023年,全球电力需求增长了2.2%,与2022年相比,增长速度与全球初级能源消耗相当。 3. 2023年,太阳能和风能发电的增长使得可再生能源在全球电力发电中的份额首次达到30%。 4. 尽管取得了这些成就,但由于化石燃料消费增长(1.5%),2023年全球能源相关的二氧化碳排放量达到了374亿吨,比2022年增长了1%。 5. 2023年,全球电力消费管理、储能解决方案部署和绿色氢的现实情况都取得了进展。 6. 提出了包括技术大规模部署、合适的法规采纳、公司和公民的贡献、融资方案的改进以及颠覆性技术(包括生成性人工智能)的影响在内的应对全球变暖的建议。 7. 在当前的背景下,包括西方国家与中国和俄罗斯的关系以及西方国家生产国内关键设备的政策在内的能源主权问题也引起了关注。
2023年全球能源市场有何变化? 欧洲电力需求为何下降? 核能复兴对全球能源市场有何影响?
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