当前位置:首页 >英文主页 >中英对照 > 报告详情

牛津能源研究所:2024电力市场的对冲尾部风险研究报告(英文版)(39页).pdf

上传人: 无*** 编号:165397 2024-06-20 39页 2.04MB

下载:

1、 April 2024 OIES Paper:EL 53 Hedging and Tail Risk in Electricity Markets Farhad Billimoria,Visiting Research Fellow,OIES,and Director,S&P Global Power Markets Jacob Mays,Assistant Professor,Cornell University Rahmatallah Poudineh,Head of Electricity Research,OIES ii The contents of this paper are t

2、he authors sole responsibility.They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members.The contents of this paper are the authors sole responsibility.They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of

3、its members.Copyright 2024 Oxford Institute for Energy Studies(Registered Charity,No.286084)This publication may be reproduced in part for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder,provided acknowledgement of the source is made.No use of this publication

4、 may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.ISBN 978-1-78467-240-9 iii The contents of this paper are the authors sole responsibility.They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford

5、Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members.Acknowledgements We wish to acknowledge without implicating Malcolm Keay,Dr.David Robinson,and Prof.Paul Simshauser for insightful comments and feedback on earlier versions of this paper,and Dr.Darryl Biggar for helpful discussions on the context an

6、d content of the work.Abstract A concern persistent in scarcity-based market designs for electricity over many years has been the illiquidity of markets for long-term contracts to hedge away volatile price exposures between generators and consumers.These missing markets have been attributed to a ran

word格式文档无特别注明外均可编辑修改,预览文件经过压缩,下载原文更清晰!
三个皮匠报告文库所有资源均是客户上传分享,仅供网友学习交流,未经上传用户书面授权,请勿作商用。
本文探讨了电力市场中长期对冲合约的可行性。主要观点包括: 1. 电力市场设计基于中心清算、安全约束经济调度,但长期对冲合约市场存在流动性不足问题。 2. 2022年能源危机凸显了国际商品供应的整合性,以及燃料价格波动对电力市场的影响。 3. 将对冲问题视为可保性问题,考虑对冲提供者能否在正常和极端情况下财务上支持对冲合约。 4. 电力市场缺乏真正的尾部风险多样化,可能导致对冲合约价格远高于预期价格。 5. 能源转型中,增加风能、太阳能等低碳资源,可以增加尾部多样性,改善合约可执行性。 6. 研究局限于燃料成本和资源可用性对系统边际成本的影响,其他因素如网络可靠性、系统安全或市场力量等留待未来研究。
电力市场长期对冲的可行性如何? 低碳资源如何影响电力市场对冲? 极端情况下电力市场对冲的挑战是什么?
客服
商务合作
小程序
服务号
折叠