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仲量联行:2023年美国和加拿大建筑成本展望报告(中译版)(21页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:122133 2023-04-13 21页 2.41MB

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1、ResearchNavigating a changed reality2023 U.S.and Canada Construction O22023 U.S.and Canada Construction OutlookContentsState of the industry3Costs retrospective and forecasts4Materials and supply chain5U.S.construction market10 Activity/Demand13 Labor14Canada construction market16 Activity/Demand19

2、Labor203JLLs Construction Outlook explores key indicators for measuring the health of the construction industry and its near-term outlook.2023 marks the first year that the report includes the U.S.and Canada.The evaluation of our prior forecasts reflects the reports historical U.S.-only focus.The la

3、tter half of 2022 saw a prolonged decline in construction materials prices,winding down a period of overheated inflation and extreme volatility.The easing of supply chain issues for some categories and the end of the few remaining global COVID measures has returned a feeling of normal.However,the re

4、turn to“normal”is proving to be complicated,with the construction industry remaining exceptionally busy while also fraught with cautious action in anticipation of a downturn.The construction pipeline remains robustly active and year-over-year construction costs remain up despite a drop in pricing fo

5、r select materials.Reimagining the built environment is critical to thriving in a post-COVID world,regardless of sector.However,economic indicators point to broader uncertainty.A brief contraction is predicted,and ongoing geopolitical conflicts imbue the outlook with more volatile swings in supply c

6、hain and pricing.State of the industrySome construction fundamentals improved,but trepidation remainsThe tensions between the need for investment on a grand scale,incredible momentum already underway,new pricing baselines born from unprecedented inflation,unaddressed structural issues,and a tenuous

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根据报告的内容,本文主要讨论了2023年美国和加拿大建筑行业的展望。主要观点如下: 1. 2022年下半年,建筑材料价格持续下降,结束了之前的高通胀和极端波动期。尽管供应链问题有所缓解,但建筑行业仍保持繁忙状态,同时也在为可能的经济衰退做准备。 2. 2022年,美国和加拿大的建筑成本增长低于预期,但仍高于历史增长率。预计2023年建筑成本将与更广泛的通胀率同步下降,接近历史平均水平。 3. 2022年,美国建筑材料价格,尤其是钢铁和木材价格,出现下降,但平均价格仍比2021年高出16%。预计2023年,建筑材料价格将保持稳定,进一步的净下降可能性不大。 4. 2022年,美国建筑行业劳动力成本增长6.5%,略高于同期通胀率。预计2023年,建筑行业劳动力成本将继续增长,但增长速度将放缓。 5. 预计2023年,美国和加拿大的建筑活动将有所增长,但增长速度将放缓。建筑活动预计将在2023年中期达到峰值,随后因新项目启动数量下降而出现收缩。
2023年美国加拿大建筑行业展望如何? 建筑材料价格波动对行业有何影响? 建筑劳动力成本增长情况如何?
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