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全球南方研究中心:2026促进数智技术赋能全球南方发展研究报告(英文版)(32页).pdf

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1、Empowering Development in the Global South through Digital and Intelligent TechnologiesLiu ChenGlobal South Research CenterMagali SilvaGeneral Management Counselor at the Central Reserve Bank of Peru and Former Minister of Foreign Trade and Tourism of PeruMa TianyueGlobal South Research CenterZhang

2、JiajiaGlobal South Research CenterAuthorsLiu,C.,Silva,M.,Ma,T.and Zhang,J.(2025).Empowering Development in the Global South through Digital and Intelligent Technologies.Beijing:Global South Research Center.The views expressed in the report are the authors own and do not necessarily reflect the posit

3、ion of GSRC.SummaryAs the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation gains momentum,digital and intelligent technologies have emerged as a crucial engine for boosting productivity,upgrading supply capabilities,and unlocking growth potential.Across the Global South,there is a

4、 broad recognition of the vital role these technologies play in development,and countries are actively seizing opportunities to speed up their digital and intelligent transformation.Yet,rapid technological progress is also challenging the traditional comparative advantages of many Global South count

5、ries,requiring careful responses.Drawing on the assessment established by various international organizations,the digital and intelligent development of Global South countries can be broadly categorized into three stages:1)basic stage,where countries are at an early phase of digital exploration and

6、primarily focus on improving infrastructure and extending digital technologies to everyday life;2)diffusion stage,where countries are exploring the transformation in selected fields,with an emphasis on using new technologies to raise productivity in core economic industries;and 3)integration stage,w

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1. **数字技术成为全球发展新引擎**:数字经济占全球GDP约15%(2024年),预计2023-2028年复合年增长率6.9%,显著高于全球GDP增速;AI有望提升2035年全要素生产率(TFP)1.5%。 2. **全球南方国家数字发展三阶段**: - **基础阶段**(如安哥拉):互联网渗透率仅23%,4G覆盖率77.4%,需补齐基础设施与数字素养短板。 - **扩散阶段**(如尼日利亚、孟加拉国):尼日利亚ICT占GDP 20%,孟加拉国移动支付账户超2.39亿,但固定宽带渗透率低(0.1%-8.1%)。 - **整合阶段**(如印度、巴西):印度数字服务出口占服务出口32.7%,巴西互联网使用率84.5%,但面临R&D投入不足、治理碎片化挑战。 3. **核心建议**: - 分阶段推进:基础国家建基础设施,扩散国家升级网络与培养人才,整合国家构建创新生态。 - 国际合作:倡导硬件开放、开源软件,建立“全球南方数字人才计划”,创新PPP融资模式。 - 全球治理:强化区域政策协调,参与联合国、WTO等多边谈判,提升规则话语权。
数字赋能全球南? 技术革命机遇? 数字鸿沟何解?
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