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麦肯锡(McKinsey)& IATA:2022年疫情对航空价值链的影响研究报告(英文版)(28页).pdf

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1、Understanding the pandemics impact on the aviation value chainDecember 2022ContentsINTRODUCTION 3EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4TAKING A STEP BACK:PRE-PANDEMIC VALUE CHAIN PERFORMANCE 5CHANGES DURING THE PANDEMIC 6PERFORMANCE AND RECOVERY BY SECTOR 7 Airlines 7 Airports and air navigation service providers 11 O

2、riginal equipment manufacturers and lessors 12 Catering,ground handling,and maintenance,repair and overhaul 13 Global distribution systems Travel tech 14 Cargo airlines and freight forwarders 15VALUE CHAIN DYNAMICS 16EXPANDING THE VALUE CREATED BY ALL VALUE CHAIN PARTICIPANTS 18CONCLUSION 21ANNEX A:

3、DEFINITIONS 22ANNEX B:EXAMPLE ROIC CALCULATION 22ANNEX C:WACC ESTIMATES 23ANNEX D:COMPANIES INCLUDED IN THE ANALYSIS 24This work is independent,reflects the views of IATA and McKinsey,and has not been commissioned by any business,government,or other institution.3Understanding the pandemics impact on

4、 the aviation value chain IntroductionSince 2005,IATA and McKinsey&Company have jointly looked at value creation across the aviation value chain.This analysis examines the entire value chain,covering aircraft and engine original equipment manufacturers(OEMs);lessors;airports;air navigation service p

5、roviders(ANSPs);ground handlers;maintenance,repair,and overhaul(MRO)providers;catering companies;airlines;global distribution systems(GDSs);and freight forwarders.The value chain analysis presented here excludes upstream value creation by oil companies.Given the differentiated nature of oil companie

6、s,profits attributed to jet fuel production alone are not transparent.Hence,this has been excluded.While acknowledging the human toll the COVID-19 pandemic has exacted,the focus here is on economic value creation,defined as the difference between the return on invested capital(ROIC)and the weighted

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本文主要分析了2020年和2021年新冠疫情对航空价值链的影响。主要观点如下: 1. 疫情前,航空价值链整体每年产生约50亿美元的亏损,其中航空公司亏损最大,每年约180亿美元。 2. 2020年和2021年,所有航空部门都遭受了重大损失,但货运航空公司和货运代理商因供不应求和需求持续而实现了收益率的提高。 3. 2020年,航空价值链整体亏损2440亿美元,2021年亏损1460亿美元。航空公司在这两年亏损最大,分别为1750亿美元和1040亿美元。 4. 2021年,所有部门的ROIC都有所提高,但只有货运代理商实现了盈利。机场部门的ROIC回升最少,制造商部门的ROIC回升最多。 5. 疫情前,北美是唯一实现盈利的地区,这可能部分归因于该地区市场更集中和成熟,以及运力增长适度。 6. 低成本航空公司(LCC)在疫情前ROIC表现优于网络航空公司,但疫情期间表现较差,这可能与缺乏货运业务有关。
航空业如何应对疫情冲击? 哪些因素导致航空公司表现不佳? 航空业如何实现价值链协同?
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