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麦肯锡(McKinsey):2022年全球资产负债表研究报告-进入波动期(中译版)(38页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:110162 2022-12-20 38页 4.36MB

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1、November 2022Discussion paperGlobal balance sheet 2022:Enter volatilityAuthorsJan Mischke,ZurichEckart Windhagen,FrankfurtOlivia White,San FranciscoJonathan Woetzel,Los Angeles and ShanghaiSven Smit,AmsterdamMichael Birshan,LondonSzabolcs Kemeny,BudapestJorge Sanchez Cumming,LondonEditorJanet Bush,L

2、ondon December 2022McKinsey Global InstituteThe McKinsey Global Institute was established in 1990.Our mission is to provide a fact base to aid decision making on the economic and business issues most critical to the worlds companies and policy leaders.We benefit from the full range of McKinseys regi

3、onal,sectoral,and functional knowledge,skills,and expertise,but editorial direction and decisions are solely the responsibility of MGI directors and partners.Our research is currently grouped into five major themes:Productivity and prosperitycreating and harnessing the worlds assets productively Res

4、ources of the worldbuilding,powering,and feeding the world Human potentialachieving the potential of human talent Global connectionsshaping of economies by flows of trade,people,capital,and ideas Technologies and markets of the futurethe next big arenas of value and competitionWe aim for independent

5、 and fact-based research and analysis.None of our work is commissioned or funded by any business,government,or other institution;we share our results publicly free of charge;and we are entirely funded by the partners of McKinsey.While we engage multiple distinguished external advisers to contribute

6、to our work,the analyses presented in our publications are MGIs alone,and any errors are our own.You can find out more about MGI and our research at Directors MGI PartnersSven Smit(chair)Michael ChuiChris Bradley Mekala KrishmanKweilin Ellingrud Anu MadgavkarMarco Piccitto Jan MischkeOlivia White Je

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了以下几点: 1. 2022年全球资产负债表出现了波动,这是近几十年来首次出现整体收缩。 2. 从2000年到2021年,全球资产负债表以GDP的170个百分点的速度增长,主要原因是资产价格的通货膨胀。 3. 2020年和2021年,在新冠疫情期间,全球财富“纸上”增加了100万亿美元,资产价格飙升,新增了3.9万亿美元的货币和存款。 4. 2022年,由于通货膨胀和利率上升,全球股市和债市价格分别下降了约30%和20%。 5. 尽管通货膨胀率上升,但债务的增长速度仍然略快于GDP的名义价值(但在市场价值中下降)。 6. 公共和私营部门领导者和金融当局应密切关注和管理资产负债表,以实现积极的经济成果。
全球资产负债表增长背后的原因是什么? 2022年全球资产负债表出现波动的原因是什么? 未来全球经济健康和财富的发展趋势是什么?
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